Randy Moss. . Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. By Paul Mclane . Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Itll be interesting to see if his postseason prowess carries him, as it arguably did Lynn Swann in his eventual election. Evans is just one of four NFL players ever to have 1,000 yards receiving as a 21-year-old rookie. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. He deserves it. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. Five seasons of 100 receptions or more plus a few others that flirted with 100 make Johnson one of the most reliable wide receivers in NFL history. In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? If he can follow in Patrick Mahomes' footsteps and win a Super Bowl this year, Jackson will have an impeccable rsum to start his career. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13). Charley Taylor. He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. Aaron Rodgers has had a lack of weapons on the Green Bay Packers While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. Ranking the top outlier contracts He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. The only thing Pouncey is missing is a Super Bowl appearance. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Duane Brown. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Jared Goff, OT Andrew Whitworth, P Johnny Hekker. Although the Texans struggled through much of his career with the team, the franchise and fans always knew they could rely on him for stellar numbers. Baker was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and a two-time Pro Bowler, although his 2017 awards were for special-teams work, which isn't valued as highly by voters. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. Players with that sort of injury history early in their careers typically don't have the sort of lengthy peak needed to become a Hall of Famer. As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. When a group consists of you and Jerry Rice, you've done something right. Last season was the first time Peterson missed an NFL game or failed to make the Pro Bowl, with both owing to his six-game PED suspension. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) November 4, 2019. Mosley. All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Sensing that many people might disagree with me, I decided to post a poll on Twitter. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Yannick Ngakoue. The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. Ranking NFL offensive weapons Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. If Murray breaks out in Year 2, he'll be on the fast track. Typically, there are between 45 and 50 Hall of Famers playing at any one time. Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans is having himself a season. Only nine players have done that in league history; outside of Green, the only player of the bunch who isn't in the Hall of Fame or a lock to get in is offensive tackle Richmond Webb, who played a much less notable position. He was excellent in his third season, but since then, his production has roughly been in line with that of Robby Anderson. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Erica Farber and Bill Siemering, prominent figures in U.S. commercial radio and public radio, respectively, are among eight new members of the Radio Hall of Fame. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. Both are locks for election. I worry a little about Atkins because he plays in a small market and in an era in which he's second fiddle to a better version of the same player (Aaron Donald), but history suggests Atkins is in. Za'Darius Smith might have been the best pass-rusher in the league last season and has been great over the past two years on a snap-by-snap basis, but he turns 28 in September. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. (Justin Simmons, who was one of the NFL's best safeties a year ago, is still waiting for his first Pro Bowl appearance.). The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. Harris has four Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance in 2016, but his play has slipped over the past couple of years, and smaller cornerbacks typically don't do well after they turn 30. Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Lock (100%): DT Aaron Donald. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. On the latest episode of the Let's Go! No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. Seymour has a better rsum and more Super Bowl rings and hasn't made it in, but he peaked earlier in his career; if Campbell can stay productive and win a ring or two with the Ravens, it might push him into more significant consideration. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. You probably dont need me to tell you that in 2018 Moss became the most recent receiver to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. Do you have a sports website? Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. Exhibits Interactive Experiences Gear Shop Pit Stop Caf Accessibility Champ the Cheetah. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. Try selecting a different location. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. Archive: Every podcast from Barnwell . In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Rodgers inked a three-year, $150 million extension with the Packers last March, but reports . On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data.
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